How will carbon credits shape the future of insurance?

Carbon credits are an effective way for businesses to invest in carbon projects and offset their emissions. But there are risks, driving the need for carbon insurance.

Carbon Article 8 min Fri, Mar 7, 2025

As businesses face mounting pressure to cut their carbon footprint, many are looking to support carbon projects that reduce greenhouse gases. By purchasing carbon credits in these projects, businesses can offset their emissions and meet sustainability goals. However, this burgeoning carbon credit market brings its own set of risks, producing a demand for innovative carbon insurance solutions.

What are carbon credits?

Carbon credits are a market-based mechanism for reducing emissions, representing the right to emit a specific amount of greenhouse gases. Credits can be bought in a variety of project types, including renewable energy, forestry conservation, and methane capture projects. They represent a fast and effective way for businesses to offset their emissions, doing good in the short term while working to meet long-term environmental goals.

Some industries are especially reliant on carbon credits to meet their emissions targets, such as aviation and manufacturing—yet the quality of credits varies widely, according to verification standards and project integrity. As more organizations get involved in the carbon credit market, the need for specialized coverage grows, as the potential losses caused by cancellation or non-delivery of credits become increasingly risky.

Why is the carbon credit market growing?

Several factors are driving the rapid growth of the carbon market. A primary driver is increasing regulation, with such initiatives as the European Commission’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and the EU’s Green Deal and Emissions Trading System (ETS) encouraging businesses to invest in carbon reduction strategies.

Meanwhile:

  • advances in carbon accounting technology are improving transparency and credit verification.
  • global corporations are integrating carbon neutrality commitments into their long-term plans.
  • customer demand for sustainable business practices is pushing companies to adopt carbon offsetting.

Beyond these drivers, corporations are under pressure from the public and investors alike to demonstrate environmental responsibility. This is translating into a growing demand for products and services from organizations committed to sustainability. In turn this further incentivizes businesses to participate in the carbon credit market.

Furthermore, while international agreements such as the Paris Agreement don’t directly mandate the purchasing of carbon credits, they do set the framework for global efforts to reduce emissions, creating a business landscape conducive to market growth. We’re also seeing rapid expansion of the voluntary carbon market (VCM), in which both companies and individuals can purchase credits outside regulatory requirements. This adds another layer of complexity and opportunity for insurers—but time is of the essence, given that the value of the VCM will likely reach $250 billion by 2030.

Why do carbon credits need to be insured?

Insurance companies can play a crucial role in supporting the carbon credit market, as the creation of carbon insurance products can help mitigate the risks that come with carbon credit investments. These include unforeseen problems, such as extreme weather damaging reforestation projects, and political instability leading to the non-delivery of credits, or even the cancellation of issued credits.

Additionally, policies could provide fraud protection to ensure credits are legitimate and not double-counted, and may also cover financial losses incurred because of market volatility in carbon pricing. Ultimately, then, carbon insurance now represents a reliable way businesses can secure long-term stability in their carbon offsetting strategies.

What are the benefits and challenges associated with carbon credits?

Benefits:

  • Funding sustainability: Revenue generated helps finance environmental initiatives.
  • Net-zero compliance: Companies can offset emissions while continuing operations.
  • Brand and consumer trust: Supporting carbon credit projects enhances corporate reputation.
  • Green sector growth: The carbon credit market produces jobs and economic opportunities in industries such as forestry and renewables.

Challenges:

  • Market volatility: Price fluctuations affect the stability and affordability of carbon offsets.
  • Regulatory uncertainty: Varying international policies complicate compliance efforts.
  • Leakage risks: Reducing emissions in one area may inadvertently lead to an increase in another.
  • Additionality concerns: Projects must be verified by reputable third parties to ensure the legitimacy of their emissions reductions.

What is the future of carbon credit insurance?

As the carbon market matures and more businesses than ever buy carbon credits, insurance will play a key role in derisking their investments and cultivating trust among both their customers and stakeholders.

We can expect to see several key trends:

  • Specialized products: Tailored coverage will emerge for different types of carbon credit, reflecting the unique risks associated with each, including technological carbon removal methods and nature-based solutions such as reforestation.
  • Collaborative partnerships: Stronger partnerships between insurers, environmental organizations, and regulatory bodies will lead to standardized guidelines and enhance project verification processes, boosting the credibility of the market as a whole.
  • Technological advancement: Blockchain technology promises to enhance security and transparency in carbon credit transactions, reducing fraud and improving traceability. This will in turn facilitate the development of more accurate risk assessment models. Insurers are already working on sophisticated tools to analyze the specific risks associated with different carbon credit projects, accounting for such factors as climate, weather, and location.

The evolving landscape of carbon risk management

The convergence of insurance and carbon credits is poised to reshape how businesses manage both financial and environmental risks. The increasing focus on Scope 3 emissions reporting, coupled with growing investor and customer demand for sustainability, will further propel the carbon credit market.

Carbon credit insurance providers will play a crucial role in this evolution, providing innovative risk mitigation tools and data-driven solutions to enhance the monitoring and validation of carbon credits. By integrating climate data into project assessments and developing specialized insurance products, insurance companies are set to ensure the long-term viability and credibility of carbon offsetting. The future of carbon credit      insurance isn’t just about mitigating risk, either—ultimately, it’s about empowering organizations to confidently invest in a sustainable future.

CFC offers comprehensive coverage for purchasers of carbon credits. Our data-led approach identifies high-quality projects and supports the drive to cut carbon footprints.

Check out our Carbon hub to stay ahead in the rapidly evolving world of carbon credits. For anything else, you can get in touch with our underwriters, or reach out to our expert team at carbon@cfc.com.